crud
0xc389c238fa55283df6bc46fe2d0bd2a7d85187e6
- Realised P&L
- $-97.27
- Volume
- $53.9k
- Markets traded
- 477
- Open portfolio
- $120.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded477
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 5? · No | 0.996 | 0.992 | $120.59 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.68at 0.840Guardians vs. Athletics
- +$21.23at 0.810Red Sox vs. Giants
- +$13.23at 0.914France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$12.42at 0.900Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
- +$2.94at 0.960Giants vs. Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:35 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $121.14 |
| 10-03 18:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.00 |
| 10-02 17:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.90 |
| 10-01 16:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9989999993 | $120.80 |
| 09-30 16:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.70 |
| 09-29 16:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $120.35 |
| 09-28 16:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.24 |
| 09-27 16:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.14 |
| 09-26 16:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on September 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.90 |
| 09-25 17:09 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on September 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $119.45 |
| 09-24 16:23 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.24 |
| 09-23 17:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.00 |
| 09-22 17:39 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $118.70 |
| 09-21 16:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $118.00 |
| 09-20 16:53 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9938708982 | $117.40 |