PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kjz

0xc36ad90e9b4d2548f303e8d69a1b828637c2c0f2

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$45.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$297.60

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.5080.175$189.45$360.31
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · No0.8090.935$106.05+$14.28
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.2170.011$2.10$41.23
North Korea missile launch by February 28? · No0.4450.000$0.00$222.52
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00$44.40
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$21.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$93.17
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$59.98
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$19.87
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$27.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 18:13Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?SELL0.0132287$2.65
03-19 18:11Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.0049478$1.48
03-09 18:41US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?SELL0.15$15.05
03-03 02:52Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.082$3.36
03-02 21:51Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?SELL0.15$14.25
03-02 12:24US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?SELL0.28$7.84
02-28 20:03Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?BUY0.0517719333$15.53
02-28 20:02Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?BUY0.12$72.00
02-25 18:14Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?SELL0.88$88.00
02-23 13:41Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.076$0.08
02-15 14:54Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.011$11.00
02-14 16:58US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?SELL0.11$11.00
02-08 05:41Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?BUY0.59$59.00
02-08 05:29Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?BUY0.86$78.62
02-08 05:28Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?BUY0.87$87.00