0xc369a0b1954af35c8ec6e82119ce9c15ec8ac369
0xc369a0b1954af35c8ec6e82119ce9c15ec8ac369
- Realised P&L
- $11.93
- Volume
- $313.25
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $10.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.990 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.845 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.335 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.925 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.690 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.385 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.460 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.570 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.135 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.041 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.25at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$6.80at 0.258Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.11at 0.430Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.86at 0.450Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:02 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:44 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:56 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:47 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:00 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 13:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:17 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |