PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

baselin

0xc35fa3901e72cd80ca00120f4e5c0ee22db110ec

Realised P&L
$-343.18
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$0.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes0.5360.001$0.05$49.95
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$10.00
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.4760.000$0.00$105.72
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$50.00
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.5480.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 23:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.5899999991$200.00
08-04 23:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSELL0.45$183.71
08-04 23:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.450180658$100.00
08-04 23:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.4897962437$100.00
08-04 23:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.4899999991$100.00
08-04 23:45Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?SELL0.2375097752$29.16
08-04 23:44Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.65$49.13
06-20 03:36Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?BUY0.4072850342$50.00
06-20 03:32Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5479468123$100.00
06-20 03:31Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5479452055$100.00
06-20 03:21Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.997$155.78
03-13 02:13Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.5419999976$100.00
03-10 04:36Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6614742481$50.00
03-10 04:36Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2$50.00
03-10 04:02Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.839999999$99.10