eda121
0xc35645bee95cddd65f6825565224dee153c84bd6
- Realised P&L
- $-503.83
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 496
- Open portfolio
- $50.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded496
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno? · No | 0.989 | 0.988 | $11.06 | −$0.02 |
| Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $10.91 | −$0.01 |
| Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $10.90 | −$0.02 |
| Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $10.85 | −$0.07 |
| Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No | 0.999 | 0.990 | $6.89 | −$0.07 |
| Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.65 |
| Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No | 0.996 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$223.01 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 12PM ET · Up | 0.985 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET · Down | 0.622 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$222.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.72at 0.447Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET
- +$12.70at 0.451Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5AM ET
- +$9.34at 0.960Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
- +$7.83at 0.960Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
- +$5.18at 0.974Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:57 | XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $11.16 |
| 10-20 05:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $11.16 |
| 10-20 02:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.15 |
| 10-19 20:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $11.15 |
| 10-19 05:56 | HYPE Up or Down - October 19, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $11.14 |
| 10-17 23:57 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.09 |
| 10-17 03:57 | Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.12 |
| 10-17 03:56 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.12 |
| 10-16 23:56 | Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9849999996 | $11.12 |
| 10-16 19:56 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.12 |
| 10-16 06:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.994995645 | $11.12 |
| 10-15 23:56 | NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.12 |
| 10-15 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.992 | $11.12 |
| 10-15 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $11.11 |
| 10-15 03:56 | Will South Park episode not air? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.11 |