Lumont
0xc35638fd65d06a7995c0f2dca226c43add96ac24
- Realised P&L
- $-25.62
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $2.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.00at 0.480Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?
- +$2.25at 0.690Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- +$1.14at 0.540Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$0.65at 0.860Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?
- +$0.42at 0.826Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 15:58 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 01-07 14:26 | Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.359999976 | $6.00 |
| 01-03 16:39 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999253 | $10.00 |
| 12-20 01:17 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.48 |
| 11-18 18:33 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.0329999844 | $2.00 |
| 11-18 18:32 | Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.86 |
| 11-18 18:01 | Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 11-18 18:01 | Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.21 |
| 11-18 18:00 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.88 |
| 11-18 18:00 | Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 11-17 17:25 | Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31? | BUY | 0.9839999989 | $7.00 |
| 11-17 13:57 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.90 |
| 11-11 19:02 | Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.47 |
| 11-11 19:02 | SBF released from custody in 2025? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.16 |
| 11-11 19:02 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |