PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Lumont

0xc35638fd65d06a7995c0f2dca226c43add96ac24

Realised P&L
$-25.62
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$2.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? · Yes0.3600.105$1.75$4.25
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes0.6700.115$0.86$4.14
Up Only podcast released by October 31? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$1.00
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Jazz vs. Timberwolves · Jazz0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Matchroom Boxing: Bostan vs Fawaz · Bostan0.8900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-07? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-07? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina · Charlotte 49ers0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
FTSE 100 (FTSE) Up or Down - October 15 · Up0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-14 15:58Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
01-07 14:26Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027?BUY0.359999976$6.00
01-03 16:39Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?BUY0.9869999253$10.00
12-20 01:17Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?SELL0.008$0.48
11-18 18:33Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?BUY0.0329999844$2.00
11-18 18:32Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31?SELL0.93$1.86
11-18 18:01Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
11-18 18:01Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?SELL0.013$0.21
11-18 18:00Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?SELL0.023$2.88
11-18 18:00Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?BUY0.859999914$1.00
11-17 17:25Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31?BUY0.9839999989$7.00
11-17 13:57Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?SELL0.32$3.90
11-11 19:02Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?SELL0.29$1.47
11-11 19:02SBF released from custody in 2025?SELL0.032$0.16
11-11 19:02Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?SELL0.001$0.01