0xc3555616099ef6f3f8d0bcc87dc3b61073b46ecf
0xc3555616099ef6f3f8d0bcc87dc3b61073b46ecf
- Realised P&L
- $0.15
- Volume
- $78.03
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.635 | $0.84 | −$0.19 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.490 | $0.66 | −$0.37 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.410 | 0.021 | $0.05 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.90at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.47at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$1.80at 0.369Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.460Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$0.64at 0.620Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:52 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.779999894 | $1.03 |
| 09-20 22:25 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999617 | $1.03 |
| 09-20 21:57 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999115 | $1.03 |
| 09-19 03:59 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099998567 | $1.03 |
| 09-16 07:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998882 | $1.03 |
| 09-11 06:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2999999417 | $1.03 |
| 09-10 09:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6199998917 | $1.03 |
| 09-10 01:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6099998519 | $1.03 |
| 09-09 17:27 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099999104 | $1.03 |
| 09-09 09:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5199997981 | $1.03 |
| 09-08 18:46 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.03 |
| 09-07 17:04 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998937 | $1.03 |
| 09-03 14:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299999123 | $1.03 |
| 09-02 12:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999138 | $1.03 |
| 09-01 10:59 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499998398 | $1.03 |