Simoneda
0xc34f3253a114a92a2160644ea837c3c541a9bf0d
- Realised P&L
- $8.00
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $4.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.86at 0.420Bulls vs. Bucks
- +$4.83at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23?
- +$3.52at 0.748Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?
- +$0.02at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 07:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.77 |
| 06-10 07:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 06-10 06:56 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.78 |
| 05-27 01:56 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.80 |
| 04-23 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.54 |
| 04-14 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.97 |
| 03-14 06:58 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.68 |
| 02-28 06:10 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.67 |
| 02-09 08:53 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $374.23 |
| 02-09 06:25 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $374.61 |
| 02-09 05:16 | Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $363.29 |
| 02-09 02:12 | Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $363.66 |
| 02-08 08:59 | Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $367.91 |