castefa
0xc34f1ef619fa6d1cd343d0d75c2cb6ed18d411b4
- Realised P&L
- $-18.31
- Volume
- $576.03
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.051 | $2.99 | +$0.74 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.75 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.64at 0.626Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 16:06 | Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.038 | $2.25 |
| 04-10 07:07 | Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 03-18 11:57 | Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.037 | $0.92 |
| 03-12 09:35 | Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.046 | $6.90 |
| 01-31 17:14 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.2659999873 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 09:04 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.996 | $63.63 |
| 12-29 15:05 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 12-29 15:05 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 12-29 13:46 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 12-29 13:45 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |