Ronty
0xc3489ab4e7df304cca0ecdadbc1a03b20d67384d
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $94.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.805 | $1.1k | +$238.46 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.398Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$774.36at 0.760Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$726.70at 0.817Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31?
- +$713.65at 0.795Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$476.07at 0.608Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:08 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $19.80 |
| 08-19 21:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $310.62 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.066999997 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0708189719 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.391 | $25.55 |
| 07-19 21:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.405 | $214.14 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2701254382 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.30599999 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2909999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-01 12:09 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2964415169 | $527.67 |
| 02-21 11:42 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.3935683807 | $813.14 |
| 02-17 23:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.951 | $2.8k |
| 02-17 23:21 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.8k |
| 02-06 10:47 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999998 | $3.0k |
| 02-05 20:16 | Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1379012346 | $55.85 |