314159265358979323846
0xc346289484d59b0f6c01ec55e6ee687be12c36cc
- Realised P&L
- $-86.57
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,181
- Open portfolio
- $52.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,181
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.984 | $13.66 | +$3.66 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · Yes | 0.800 | 1.000 | $12.49 | +$2.49 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? · No | 0.790 | 0.925 | $11.71 | +$1.71 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 16? · Yes | 0.707 | 0.541 | $7.67 | −$2.35 |
| Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage · ENCE | 0.770 | 0.550 | $7.14 | −$2.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.71at 0.727Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$15.64at 0.756Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A
- +$12.79at 0.716Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A
- +$4.97at 0.859Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?
- +$4.29at 0.700Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:03 | Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 18:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 16? | BUY | 0.7069999985 | $10.03 |
| 09-15 16:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 15:02 | Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 11:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:25 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:25 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:55 | Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 06:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 06:18 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 20:43 | Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America - Regional Final Playoffs | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 06:03 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 22:40 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |