PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

penguinec

0xc33d6aa3eb972639f31e46a6a02201cece380d40

Realised P&L
$12.4k
Volume
$2.66M
Markets traded
10,012
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,012
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1900.225$294.98+$46.23
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.7210.780$262.04+$19.80
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026? · No0.8840.968$261.60+$22.70
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.9300.995$211.83+$13.74
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.9520.989$197.70+$7.30
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? · No0.7420.815$179.49+$16.08
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.8290.953$173.64+$22.52
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.3460.943$166.91+$105.72
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.914$153.40+$9.11
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? · Yes0.8460.907$139.59+$9.45
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.8850.963$110.93+$8.95
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.9401.000$97.95+$5.83
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8900.945$97.18+$5.66
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026? · No0.2200.075$76.06−$146.93
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8520.974$61.90+$7.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:53Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.928$19.53
11-01 18:57England Lions Tour of West Indies T20s: West Indies A vs England LionsBUY0.07$1.75
10-31 20:37Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0557933566$1.62
10-31 17:04Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0469999997$5.10
10-31 16:54Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino PrizmicBUY0.89$17.80
10-31 15:55Valorant: Team relaxcis vs Team Samuraj (BO3) - BETBOOM Streamers Battle PlayoffsBUY0.88$6.49
10-31 15:44Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.59$11.80
10-31 15:41Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.91$9.10
10-31 15:41Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Damir DzumhurBUY0.14$7.00
10-31 15:41Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.95$9.50
10-31 15:41Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.94$9.40
10-31 15:41Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.83$8.30
10-31 15:41Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.82$16.40
10-31 15:40Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Damir DzumhurBUY0.84$8.40
10-31 15:39Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Damir DzumhurBUY0.85$12.75