PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

stph81

0xc33a69ee62019c95b54d74b0fc0a86a4a32c671f

Realised P&L
$-484.91
Volume
$68.5k
Markets traded
3,954
Open portfolio
$56.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,954
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? · Yes0.3700.300$27.00−$6.30
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? · Yes0.2800.285$25.65+$0.45
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026? · Yes0.2970.165$3.97−$3.18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$2.06
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$4.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00−$3.05
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$2.80
Will Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$0.42
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Down0.5890.000$0.00−$2.90
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic · Dayana Yastremska0.2250.000$0.00−$2.42
Will Palermo FC vs. Spezia Calcio end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $100? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.01
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?BUY0.28$2.80
10-18 04:07Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?BUY0.37$3.70