stph81
0xc33a69ee62019c95b54d74b0fc0a86a4a32c671f
- Realised P&L
- $-484.91
- Volume
- $68.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,954
- Open portfolio
- $56.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,954
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.15at 0.126Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$124.92at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$60.64at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$58.41at 0.188Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-01-31?
- +$57.32at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-18 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |