Ns1ghtt
0xc331e8f3b62f283a57d8325f8a04f74f1b131fc5
- Realised P&L
- $67.94
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $71.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next? · No | 0.510 | 0.660 | $19.41 | +$4.41 |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.881 | 0.876 | $17.80 | −$0.11 |
| Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.570 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Joshua Van fight Manel Kape next? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.915 | $10.25 | +$0.84 |
| Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.420 | $9.44 | −$0.36 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? · No | 0.760 | 0.565 | $3.72 | −$1.28 |
| Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.35 |
| Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.01 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.97 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.58at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$11.03at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$6.91at 0.686Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$5.29at 0.317UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
- +$5.25at 0.488UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:53 | Will Joshua Van fight Manel Kape next? | BUY | 0.8399999964 | $9.41 |
| 09-23 14:51 | Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 14:49 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:43 | Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.4360841283 | $9.80 |
| 09-23 14:39 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:36 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8815943939 | $17.91 |
| 09-23 14:32 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-23 14:32 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.91 |
| 06-14 21:59 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.3899999749 | $4.97 |
| 06-14 21:58 | UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8199999801 | $5.78 |
| 06-14 21:57 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.01 |
| 06-14 21:56 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2099999445 | $2.95 |
| 06-12 00:54 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.50 |
| 06-11 19:08 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |
| 05-09 00:46 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999908 | $15.00 |