vendeurdejamon
0xc32c5ea974629577d967029f2ee22b087a275e2a
- Realised P&L
- $-133.85
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $481.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.81at 0.623Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?
- +$32.59at 0.630Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
- +$11.63at 0.873Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.68at 0.410Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.47at 0.310Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:54 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.4799999949 | $30.40 |
| 11-01 21:53 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $30.38 |
| 11-01 16:34 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 11-01 16:16 | Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1909999961 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:38 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 11-01 14:37 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $68.40 |
| 11-01 14:29 | Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.06 |
| 10-31 22:52 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 10-31 22:51 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $22.39 |
| 10-31 14:23 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $58.66 |
| 10-31 14:23 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $58.40 |
| 10-30 23:41 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.46 |
| 10-30 20:21 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-30 20:17 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.67 |
| 10-30 19:53 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $41.60 |