0xc313268EdDdeD61b6A6033e49D0C2d731ca2e128-1776828135293
0xc313268eddded61b6a6033e49d0c2d731ca2e128
- Realised P&L
- $-274.00
- Volume
- $429.2k
- Markets traded
- 660
- Open portfolio
- $395.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded660
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · New York Mets | 0.480 | 0.475 | $152.40 | −$1.60 |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.570 | $94.98 | +$4.98 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.265 | $51.82 | −$42.18 |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.120 | 0.055 | $38.83 | −$46.17 |
| Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) · Athletics | 0.550 | 0.975 | $35.45 | +$15.45 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins · Los Angeles Angels | 0.060 | 0.005 | $2.75 | −$27.25 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$194.26 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Cincinnati Reds | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) · Spurs | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$230.00 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers · Texas Rangers | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.410Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$1.1kat 0.337Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$1.0kat 0.350Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
- +$995.94at 0.209Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$784.71at 0.298New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 22:26 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.0699999931 | $9.00 |
| 08-08 22:25 | New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4799999989 | $154.00 |
| 08-08 22:24 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.069999992 | $8.00 |
| 08-08 22:16 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 08-08 22:05 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 22:05 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.81 | $428.05 |
| 08-08 21:42 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.05 | $7.00 |
| 08-08 21:09 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 08-08 21:09 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | SELL | 0.94 | $423.25 |
| 08-08 21:03 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.1199999748 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 21:03 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.1099999974 | $36.00 |
| 08-08 21:03 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.9 | $433.38 |
| 08-08 20:40 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.569999993 | $18.00 |
| 08-08 20:22 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5899999997 | $85.00 |
| 08-08 20:21 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.3399999983 | $72.00 |