0xc31234089260db10ed2bbca381547dc5ceca3e84
0xc31234089260db10ed2bbca381547dc5ceca3e84
- Realised P&L
- $-7.05
- Volume
- $98.44
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.470 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.755 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.505 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11at 0.420Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
- +$1.29at 0.540Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.19at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.629Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:55 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:15 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999954 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 22:12 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999291 | $1.49 |
| 09-19 08:38 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.49 |
| 09-14 05:53 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999501 | $1.49 |
| 09-13 21:52 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999491 | $1.49 |
| 09-07 15:57 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999305 | $1.49 |
| 09-07 06:51 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.49 |
| 09-03 11:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.49 |
| 09-02 16:05 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 2? | BUY | 0.3799999031 | $1.49 |
| 09-01 10:40 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.459999895 | $1.49 |