PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

megacapper

0xc308447bc9ef6e72018a3f3914005bd24c207b09

Realised P&L
$7.4k
Volume
$2.74M
Markets traded
2,667
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,667
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2530.185$1.4k−$506.44
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.029$191.75−$230.81
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.021$61.50−$87.05
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.021$61.50−$57.51
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.034$33.50−$56.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.705$7.05+$1.75
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 226.5 · Over0.0700.000$0.00−$2.63
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5 · Under0.0200.000$0.00−$7.61
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 243.5 · Over0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo0.0140.000$0.00−$36.46
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5 · Over0.0200.000$0.00−$0.02
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 · Over0.0010.000$0.00−$0.01
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5 · Over0.0300.000$0.00−$30.00
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5 · Under0.0500.000$0.00−$1.37
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings · Chicago Sky0.0430.000$0.00−$23.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:17Oregon State vs. Fresno State: 1H O/U 30.5BUY0.43$43.00
11-01 03:38Texas State vs. Boise State: 1H O/U 30.5BUY0.33$4.95
11-01 03:37Texas State vs. Boise State: 1H O/U 30.5BUY0.33$6.60
11-01 03:36Texas State vs. Boise State: 1H O/U 30.5BUY0.336396$16.82
11-01 03:33Texas State vs. Boise State: 1H O/U 30.5BUY0.501606$25.08
11-01 03:11Texas State vs. Boise State: 1H O/U 27.5BUY0.4$52.00
11-01 03:02Spread: Memphis (-20.5)BUY0.17$11.90
11-01 03:02Spread: Memphis (-20.5)BUY0.17$11.90
11-01 03:01Spread: Memphis (-20.5)BUY0.15$10.50
11-01 02:52Texas State vs. Boise State: O/U 59.5BUY0.41$38.95
11-01 02:50Texas State vs. Boise State: 1H O/U 30.5BUY0.4$38.00
11-01 02:48Queretaro: Bianca Andreescu vs Carole MonnetBUY0.7811175$124.98
11-01 02:48Queretaro: Bianca Andreescu vs Carole MonnetBUY0.73$102.20
11-01 02:47Queretaro: Bianca Andreescu vs Carole MonnetBUY0.7117142857$99.64
11-01 00:3376ers vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5BUY0.01$0.95