0xc3022ed2a599af0c6e42a25e2195c256709793c9
0xc3022ed2a599af0c6e42a25e2195c256709793c9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.28
- Volume
- $51.17
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $5.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? · No | 0.370 | 0.505 | $2.73 | +$0.73 |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.835 | $1.24 | −$0.10 |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.590 | $0.99 | +$0.03 |
| Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? · No | 0.600 | 0.315 | $0.62 | −$0.56 |
| Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election? · No | 0.230 | 0.029 | $0.13 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.535Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?
- +$0.28at 0.725Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
- +$0.20at 0.824Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?
- +$-0.50at 0.844Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?
- +$-0.84at 0.775Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:33 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.34 |
| 10-06 19:21 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.53 |
| 09-19 05:28 | Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.5999998983 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 07:50 | Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 07:30 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | SELL | 0.993 | $0.91 |
| 09-10 23:15 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 19:11 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.36 |
| 09-09 00:12 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:51 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.18 |
| 08-29 04:03 | Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.86 |
| 08-25 22:18 | Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.18 |
| 08-25 20:57 | Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2299998429 | $1.01 |
| 08-25 17:23 | Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.36 |
| 08-23 02:41 | Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5699997994 | $1.08 |
| 08-23 00:08 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |