PolyBot

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Traders

surewinnn99666

0xc2f612a4608f6bc9b94a1fa9d3e3c98eeb425c11

Realised P&L
$-85.63
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
766
Open portfolio
$59.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded766
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8940.985$16.31+$1.50
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.7200.750$10.42+$0.42
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No0.5110.972$9.50+$4.50
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.5700.585$5.13+$0.13
Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.5700.585$5.13+$0.13
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.7900.830$3.15+$0.15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.7800.795$3.06+$0.06
Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.7900.790$3.00+$0.00
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.8500.885$2.08+$0.08
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? · Yes0.8690.871$1.00+$0.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5760.080$0.48$3.02
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.00
76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.8400.000$0.00$2.82
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:58U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.8499997025$2.00
09-16 15:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$0.33
09-16 15:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$2.00
09-03 16:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799994896$1.00
09-03 16:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
08-20 14:27Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-20 14:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299999416$3.00
08-05 16:01Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.7899999631$3.00
08-05 16:00Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.78$3.00
08-05 16:00Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.7899999631$3.00
08-05 16:00Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
08-05 15:59Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.5699998906$5.00
08-05 15:59Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
08-05 15:58Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.74$1.00
08-05 15:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299998781$2.00