El-kiyo
0xc2f1f83128865472459df3d4addbe6fd1b0aa4b9
- Realised P&L
- $-21.90
- Volume
- $401.09
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $75.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.505 | $20.83 | +$1.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.550 | $20.50 | +$5.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.505 | $16.80 | +$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.470 | $14.40 | −$0.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.505 | $2.52 | +$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.74at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?
- +$-5.58at 0.425Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22?
- +$-7.41at 0.612Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22?
- +$-16.66at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.2823000824 | $10.27 |
| 09-22 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-22 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.31 |
| 09-22 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.1013723917 | $3.79 |
| 09-21 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.75 |
| 09-21 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.4 | $13.22 |
| 09-21 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4155337983 | $15.49 |
| 09-21 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.46 | $15.30 |
| 09-21 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-21 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.48 | $19.80 |
| 09-21 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.6 | $19.84 |
| 09-21 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.53 | $19.81 |
| 09-21 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |