PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AlexFromRussia

0xc2eb1285f5c621e2f701a0c265cf03cf2432c299

Realised P&L
$-839.82
Volume
$63.4k
Markets traded
556
Open portfolio
$972.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded556
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9290.985$108.30+$6.10
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · No0.8150.935$102.85+$13.25
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8650.934$93.39+$6.90
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8200.932$93.24+$11.25
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9660.914$91.40$5.20
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8700.895$89.50+$2.50
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.8170.445$53.40$44.60
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7000.935$46.75+$11.75
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.8050.485$38.80$25.60
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.7370.989$29.66+$7.55
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9210.739$22.16$5.47
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9200.680$20.40$7.20
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.935$18.70+$1.50
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.7600.790$15.80+$0.60
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.7900.265$13.25$26.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 09:16US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.986$140.47
06-04 07:12Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.9220862$138.31
06-04 07:11Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9045119$180.90
06-04 07:11Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.92$184.00
06-04 07:10Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.956$191.19
06-04 07:10Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?SELL0.982$265.14
06-04 07:09Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.306$61.20
03-24 12:35EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.985$59.10
02-26 12:35Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.27$350.99
02-24 13:29Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.55$109.99
02-08 13:45Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.69$110.39
02-07 03:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY0.17$8.50
02-05 02:36MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.54$8.10
02-03 16:35Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?BUY0.035$1.05
02-01 09:37Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?BUY0.723886$36.19