AlexFromRussia
0xc2eb1285f5c621e2f701a0c265cf03cf2432c299
- Realised P&L
- $-839.82
- Volume
- $63.4k
- Markets traded
- 556
- Open portfolio
- $972.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded556
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.00at 0.853Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$152.70at 0.491Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$122.75at 0.270Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$109.00at 0.455Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$76.50at 0.861Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 09:16 | US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $140.47 |
| 06-04 07:12 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9220862 | $138.31 |
| 06-04 07:11 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.9045119 | $180.90 |
| 06-04 07:11 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 06-04 07:10 | Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $191.19 |
| 06-04 07:10 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $265.14 |
| 06-04 07:09 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.306 | $61.20 |
| 03-24 12:35 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $59.10 |
| 02-26 12:35 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $350.99 |
| 02-24 13:29 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.55 | $109.99 |
| 02-08 13:45 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.69 | $110.39 |
| 02-07 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 02-05 02:36 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 02-03 16:35 | Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.05 |
| 02-01 09:37 | Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28? | BUY | 0.723886 | $36.19 |