PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dunefish

0xc2e93fe687de4f2c02fcff46ad27de160ac76d4e

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$158.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$501.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3820.065$501.22$2.4k
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June? · Yes0.3130.000$0.00$0.87
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.4k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$672.43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$1.4k
AOC charged before July? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$113.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-05 03:51Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?BUY0.0548116932$364.69
12-05 03:30Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.3815315556$2.9k
12-05 03:29Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1768189106$444.44
12-05 03:28Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?BUY0.0574647082$1000.00
10-30 02:21Zelensky resigns in 2025?SELL0.0417525881$576.58
08-09 05:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.41$366.29
07-23 04:11Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?BUY0.1699999998$694.04
07-23 03:48Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?BUY0.16$0.96
07-23 03:47Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?BUY0.16$305.00
07-23 03:46Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?BUY0.6$1.2k
05-14 06:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.59$5.90
05-05 03:07AOC charged before July? BUY0.0387224863$113.20
05-05 03:07Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?SELL0.0225147951$113.20
04-27 06:56Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?BUY0.05$382.22
04-27 06:56Zelensky resigns in 2025?BUY0.1399999999$1000.00