dunefish
0xc2e93fe687de4f2c02fcff46ad27de160ac76d4e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $158.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $501.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.065 | $501.22 | −$2.4k |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.87 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$672.43 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| AOC charged before July? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.167Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$817.21at 0.600Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
- +$-215.84at 0.480Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$-1.4kat 0.145Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-05 03:51 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | BUY | 0.0548116932 | $364.69 |
| 12-05 03:30 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3815315556 | $2.9k |
| 12-05 03:29 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1768189106 | $444.44 |
| 12-05 03:28 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | BUY | 0.0574647082 | $1000.00 |
| 10-30 02:21 | Zelensky resigns in 2025? | SELL | 0.0417525881 | $576.58 |
| 08-09 05:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.41 | $366.29 |
| 07-23 04:11 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | BUY | 0.1699999998 | $694.04 |
| 07-23 03:48 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 07-23 03:47 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $305.00 |
| 07-23 03:46 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 05-14 06:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 05-05 03:07 | AOC charged before July? | BUY | 0.0387224863 | $113.20 |
| 05-05 03:07 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June? | SELL | 0.0225147951 | $113.20 |
| 04-27 06:56 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | BUY | 0.05 | $382.22 |
| 04-27 06:56 | Zelensky resigns in 2025? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1000.00 |