0xc2dc3fbeef35938e5c588baf48bba3608ba66b07
0xc2dc3fbeef35938e5c588baf48bba3608ba66b07
- Realised P&L
- $7.03
- Volume
- $429.74
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $7.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? · Up | 0.680 | 0.974 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.405 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.855 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.515 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · No | 0.610 | 0.585 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.145 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.237Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$6.40at 0.245Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:48 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:48 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:43 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:57 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:34 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:39 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7839999561 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7869993995 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:43 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7739998731 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:40 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 03:39 | Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.4109998352 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:38 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |