PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Noteagle

0xc2dbb83dd39f9d604dbc5eee1f541baaee996865

Realised P&L
$12.3k
Volume
$1.29M
Markets traded
1,651
Open portfolio
$11.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,651
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.994$2.1k+$22.24
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9760.976$2.1k−$0.18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.934$2.0k+$238.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.985$1.4k+$18.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.976$1.2k+$10.81
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9130.945$1.1k+$38.23
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? · No0.9040.966$927.14+$58.89
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.885$177.00−$3.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7700.968$48.38+$9.88
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4730.485$33.95+$0.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? · No0.5000.415$16.60−$3.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? · Yes0.5550.265$14.61−$16.02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1450.049$9.70−$19.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? · No0.2960.000$0.00−$16.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 00:49Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.9879834437$298.37
10-01 00:10Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.992$289.66
10-01 00:09Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.9889328461$186.73
09-30 13:52Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?BUY0.95$15.20
09-29 16:33Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29?BUY0.95$507.30
09-29 16:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.9885746378$1.1k
09-29 15:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?BUY0.99$990.00
09-29 15:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?BUY0.99$990.00
09-29 15:23Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.9130592244$762.37
09-29 15:09Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?SELL0.5$59.20
09-29 12:02Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.9870693481$1.4k
09-29 01:09Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.8491924077$737.98
09-28 17:15Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.974$872.23
09-28 08:13Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.752$529.41
09-28 03:23Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 27?BUY0.9199303136$264.02