PolyBot

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Traders

ktv.politics

0xc2d7fef7f24d389cd28d52b48e6ecb172490deb5

Realised P&L
$-612.53
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 09:34Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.996$148.60
09-06 23:07Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.998$321.44
08-29 15:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.992$19.83
08-29 04:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.992$45.27
08-28 19:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.991$99.10
08-28 16:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.991$271.60
08-27 18:24Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.992$124.00
08-23 09:55Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.317$3.17
08-23 09:55Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.317$3.17
08-22 06:38Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.992$49.60
08-22 06:27Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.991$49.73
08-19 03:17Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.991$62.84
08-18 23:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.997$29.51
08-18 18:21Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.994$124.79
08-17 12:58Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.87$4.35