ktv.politics
0xc2d7fef7f24d389cd28d52b48e6ecb172490deb5
- Realised P&L
- $-612.53
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.012US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.015Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.015Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.045Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.019Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 09:34 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.996 | $148.60 |
| 09-06 23:07 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.998 | $321.44 |
| 08-29 15:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.83 |
| 08-29 04:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $45.27 |
| 08-28 19:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 08-28 16:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $271.60 |
| 08-27 18:24 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $124.00 |
| 08-23 09:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.317 | $3.17 |
| 08-23 09:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.317 | $3.17 |
| 08-22 06:38 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 08-22 06:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $49.73 |
| 08-19 03:17 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $62.84 |
| 08-18 23:08 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.51 |
| 08-18 18:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $124.79 |
| 08-17 12:58 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |