cit
0xc2d285e70002c70fa38a72a5efd98e27d81238cc
- Realised P&L
- $-22.58
- Volume
- $123.6k
- Markets traded
- 636
- Open portfolio
- $1.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded636
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.20at 0.360Magic vs. Knicks
- +$59.52at 0.117Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$39.77at 0.430Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?
- +$35.64at 0.340Bucks vs. Hornets
- +$25.76at 0.660Rockets vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 07:43 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.962 | $1.43 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.351 | $2.05 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.88 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.46 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.59 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.09 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.218 | $3.08 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | SELL | 0.447 | $5.50 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.372 | $5.58 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.122 | $2.44 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.61 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.62 |