Captain-btc
0xc2d1ab8a8b6ada42164e8a72d353a030a5993935
- Realised P&L
- $-16.28
- Volume
- $578.76
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $19.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.185 | $19.43 | −$6.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.30at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET
- +$2.07at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$1.95at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$1.81at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$0.61at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.28 | $18.21 |
| 10-05 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $7.96 |
| 10-05 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 15:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.34 |
| 10-05 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.18 |
| 10-02 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $2.05 |
| 10-02 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $0.54 |
| 10-01 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.08 |