PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

philwa

0xc2ca8a8cd7a75d6dd5b0f11f90ecee762eff4419

Realised P&L
$-608.22
Volume
$135.0k
Markets traded
2,678
Open portfolio
$150.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,678
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · LG Twins0.9100.755$25.04$5.12
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.6900.535$23.26$6.74
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9330.997$21.36+$1.36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9570.994$20.76+$0.76
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? · No0.8100.703$17.35$2.66
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · No0.8600.980$11.39+$1.39
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.1000.168$8.44+$3.42
Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? · No0.8120.995$8.24+$1.51
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2950.290$4.92$0.08
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.4250.143$2.73$5.36
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0950.037$1.98$3.04
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0980.093$1.41$0.07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes0.3030.059$0.97$4.03
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0600.011$0.92$4.12
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0520.005$0.48$4.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 21:07Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.72$29.79
09-13 18:01Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.79$30.19
09-13 00:07Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?BUY0.8$16.00
09-12 23:19California vs. SyracuseBUY0.78$27.21
09-10 02:19Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.77$30.19
09-06 16:07Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.71$28.21
09-06 15:31Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.8477106481$29.30
09-05 23:57Sam Houston vs. TroyBUY0.83$24.90
09-05 23:57Arkansas State vs. MemphisBUY0.75$30.20
09-05 23:39Edward Waters vs. Jackson StateBUY0.869$18.25
08-31 03:12Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?BUY0.86$11.89
08-29 19:18Exact Score: Stade Brestois 29 1 - 1 Toulouse FC?BUY0.8691097923$29.29
08-29 01:54Vikings vs. BroncosBUY0.82$29.82
08-21 03:00Raiders vs. TexansBUY0.72$25.26
08-20 00:00Exact Score: Cuiabá EC 1 - 0 Operário Ferroviário EC?BUY0.81$29.99