PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

philwa

0xc2ca8a8cd7a75d6dd5b0f11f90ecee762eff4419

Realised P&L
$-377.69
Volume
$130.9k
Markets traded
2,576
Open portfolio
$261.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,576
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · LG Twins0.9100.780$25.85$4.31
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · No0.9670.994$23.12+$0.62
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No0.9050.982$21.68+$1.69
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9570.954$19.94$0.06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9330.929$19.93$0.08
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9100.825$18.13$1.87
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9110.803$17.63$2.37
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? · No0.8100.667$16.49$3.52
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9551.000$15.70+$0.70
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.9650.994$15.46+$0.45
Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9841.000$15.24+$0.24
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.9871.000$15.18+$0.19
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · No0.8600.970$11.27+$1.27
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2950.398$6.75+$1.75
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? · No0.9281.000$5.56+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 17:19Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 3 - 1 Universitatea Craiova CS?BUY0.959$60.02
07-22 17:19Exact Score: Independiente Medellín 0 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?BUY0.96$60.31
07-22 17:19Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?BUY0.967$22.50
07-14 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5PM ETBUY0.929605729$57.77
07-13 00:56NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento KingsBUY0.83$29.64
07-12 01:30UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.77$25.38
07-12 00:48Will Nikita Krylov win by KO or TKO?BUY0.96$29.81
07-11 23:19Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.89$29.49
07-11 11:25Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?BUY0.747932607$29.52
07-10 23:37NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Houston RocketsBUY0.7066845193$27.71
07-10 22:25NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn NetsBUY0.73$30.00
07-10 19:43Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.86$29.82
07-10 19:43Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.72$28.99
07-10 13:26Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?BUY0.96$22.62
07-10 02:55NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Utah JazzBUY0.7563380282$26.85