PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

philwa

0xc2ca8a8cd7a75d6dd5b0f11f90ecee762eff4419

Realised P&L
$-640.63
Volume
$135.6k
Markets traded
2,678
Open portfolio
$125.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,678
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0520.278$26.73+$21.73
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9330.995$21.33+$1.33
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0600.248$20.84+$15.80
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9570.994$20.77+$0.77
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.6900.260$11.30−$18.69
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · No0.8600.969$11.25+$1.26
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2950.220$3.73−$1.27
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.1000.053$2.66−$2.36
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0950.035$1.88−$3.15
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2550.087$1.71−$3.28
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0980.054$0.82−$0.66
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0530.019$0.80−$1.37
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.3110.276$0.58−$0.07
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.4250.021$0.39−$7.70
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes0.3030.023$0.38−$4.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 21:07Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.72$29.79
09-13 18:01Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.79$30.19
09-13 00:07Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?BUY0.8$16.00
09-12 23:19California vs. SyracuseBUY0.78$27.21
09-10 02:19Patriots vs. SeahawksBUY0.77$30.19
09-06 16:07Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.71$28.21
09-06 15:31Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.8477106481$29.30
09-05 23:57Sam Houston vs. TroyBUY0.83$24.90
09-05 23:57Arkansas State vs. MemphisBUY0.75$30.20
09-05 23:39Edward Waters vs. Jackson StateBUY0.869$18.25
08-31 03:12Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?BUY0.86$11.89
08-29 19:18Exact Score: Stade Brestois 29 1 - 1 Toulouse FC?BUY0.8691097923$29.29
08-29 01:54Vikings vs. BroncosBUY0.82$29.82
08-21 03:00Raiders vs. TexansBUY0.72$25.26
08-20 00:00Exact Score: Cuiabá EC 1 - 0 Operário Ferroviário EC?BUY0.81$29.99