0xc2b5fcc67ed43c1ebec7e4a0d90171c8b5bca3a1
- Realised P&L
- $-187.01
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $62.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.039 | $62.44 | −$30.65 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$270.00 |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.13at 0.459Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$28.25at 0.626Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 21:05 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.146999981 | $6.50 |
| 06-22 20:14 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0943628319 | $10.66 |
| 06-22 20:13 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0674450354 | $29.93 |
| 06-22 20:09 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.046 | $46.00 |
| 05-20 17:40 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.005 | $6.50 |
| 05-18 18:24 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2319999994 | $270.00 |
| 05-16 23:32 | Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.9979579052 | $220.48 |
| 05-16 23:31 | Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $84.66 |
| 05-16 19:32 | Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $95.00 |
| 05-16 19:26 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0398310367 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 19:25 | Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0889644105 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 19:24 | Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $50.00 |