vlad678678
0xc2b5116d98d3bc99a98acdcceb32eea4e99b975a
- Realised P&L
- $36.92
- Volume
- $596.82
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.015 | $1.11 | −$8.89 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.73at 0.085Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?
- +$11.45at 0.096Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.2104500045 | $23.38 |
| 10-14 15:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.3713456 | $46.42 |
| 10-14 12:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.52 |
| 10-14 12:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 12:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 12:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.28 |
| 10-14 12:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |