PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wedontdothesame

0xc2b3d46978495fcb03750d0800963245278dcd72

Realised P&L
$20.51
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$130.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tukums 2000 keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.445$7.85+$7.67
Will BFC Daugavpils keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.395$6.96+$6.79
Will SK Super Nova keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.365$6.43+$6.26
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0030.171$5.95+$5.84
Will Ogre United keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.325$5.73+$5.55
Will AC Oulu win the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)? · Yes0.0100.420$5.04+$4.92
Will VPS win the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)? · Yes0.0100.420$5.04+$4.92
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0200.369$4.67+$4.41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0200.343$4.62+$4.35
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0070.102$4.39+$4.07
Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0100.245$4.28+$4.10
Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0100.245$4.28+$4.10
Will Audi Revolut get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0100.245$4.28+$4.10
Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0100.245$4.28+$4.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 5% or more? · Yes0.0200.373$3.94+$3.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:05Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?SELL0.18$0.84
10-08 10:05Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?SELL0.058$0.09
10-07 03:18Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?SELL0.54$7.70
10-07 03:18Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?SELL0.015$0.36
10-06 19:49Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.026$0.52
10-06 17:36Will Patricia Bullrich win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.022$0.44
10-06 11:51Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Portugal?SELL0.081$0.81
10-06 06:07Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 9, 2026?SELL0.167$1.52
10-05 13:59Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?SELL0.025$0.16
10-05 13:59Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Real Madrid?SELL0.136$2.61
10-05 12:21Will Yashar win 20-22% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.17$0.69