wedontdothesame
0xc2b3d46978495fcb03750d0800963245278dcd72
- Realised P&L
- $20.51
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $130.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.42at 0.080Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?
- +$4.38at 0.004Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 270 and 299 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
- +$4.38at 0.007Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 210 and 239 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
- +$2.34at 0.002Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$1.34at 0.015Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by less than 10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:05 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.84 |
| 10-08 10:05 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.09 |
| 10-07 03:18 | Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours? | SELL | 0.54 | $7.70 |
| 10-07 03:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.36 |
| 10-06 19:49 | Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.52 |
| 10-06 17:36 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.44 |
| 10-06 11:51 | Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Portugal? | SELL | 0.081 | $0.81 |
| 10-06 06:07 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.167 | $1.52 |
| 10-05 13:59 | Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.16 |
| 10-05 13:59 | Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.136 | $2.61 |
| 10-05 12:21 | Will Yashar win 20-22% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.69 |