fffffffffff3ee4e
0xc2b08af597cd0407d6b2628af1f3a335dd3f372f
- Realised P&L
- $-19.2k
- Volume
- $460.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $42.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.609 | 0.520 | $41.04 | −$6.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Up | 0.856 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$484.17 |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$568.01at 0.573Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$537.05at 0.640Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
- +$472.38at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$468.00at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:07 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.046 | $4.2k |
| 06-28 05:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0424075891 | $366.58 |
| 06-17 11:02 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.6k |
| 06-17 03:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.892 | $89.20 |
| 06-11 11:12 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999999 | $942.22 |
| 06-11 11:09 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $588.44 |
| 06-11 11:09 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $411.56 |
| 06-11 11:08 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $427.12 |
| 06-08 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8621390158 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8795602199 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8394317041 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8265796127 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.81446166 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7195563578 | $100.00 |