PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JurrevP

0xc2af55c8abfff01df9a7df02f389df938cd0bb78

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$53.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$157.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.004$157.65$743.31
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00$18.20
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$40.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.28
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$21.86
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$3.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$50.00
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64 · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$10.00
Trump out as President in 2025? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$200.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$20.00
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104 · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.3799999713$3.61
01-31 12:56Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.3229999933$17.20
01-31 12:55Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01676664$16.77
01-31 11:54Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.3069998806$1.00
01-08 20:48Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
12-21 09:09Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0256947121$111.00
12-20 13:15Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.016$10.00
12-20 09:16Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0194654339$800.00
12-20 09:15US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.11$78.57
12-17 12:57US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
12-17 12:57Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?BUY0.0283208076$10.00
12-17 12:56U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?BUY0.3599999946$40.00
12-17 12:55Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?BUY0.0466705369$10.00
12-17 12:54Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?BUY0.0482527318$20.00
09-03 07:26Trump out as President in 2025?BUY0.0599999995$100.00