PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

erikacarter

0xc2aec9f9395312f85c0bb63d001fc15978582e71

Realised P&L
$80.26
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$54.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.7501.000$28.37+$7.09
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.8000.815$25.92+$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 05:32Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?BUY0.75$21.28
01-31 13:35Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$6.50
01-30 15:52Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January?BUY0.999$3.65
01-30 15:35Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?BUY0.995$13.75
01-30 13:19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$10.42
01-30 12:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?BUY0.9969999732$36.78
12-30 02:40Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.998$5.54
12-30 00:22Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$8.47
12-30 00:02Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9969999646$25.60
12-29 18:49Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.998$25.96
10-30 18:57Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$16.38
10-30 18:35Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$17.25
09-29 14:09Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.999$15.75
09-29 02:12Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.997$18.31
09-29 00:41Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$13.91