bosona
0xc2ad03f79ca3f3c17d8c7de2612ce0c89b7d40ed
- Realised P&L
- $403.9k
- Volume
- $26.10M
- Markets traded
- 106,447
- Open portfolio
- $6.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded106,447
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? · Up | 0.240 | 0.996 | $6.51 | +$4.94 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? · Down | 0.520 | 0.004 | $0.03 | −$3.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.226Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.243Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.199Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.209Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:59 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.40 |
| 11-02 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $3.96 |
| 11-02 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 11-02 16:16 | Solana Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.987 | $197.39 |
| 11-02 16:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 11-02 15:58 | Solana Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.0354379562 | $0.78 |
| 11-02 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $52.06 |
| 11-02 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 11-02 15:47 | BNB Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $6.72 |
| 11-02 15:39 | Solana Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 11-02 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $56.32 |
| 11-02 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2470156932 | $37.93 |
| 11-02 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $26.40 |
| 11-02 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2537865043 | $40.84 |
| 11-02 15:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.35 |