finalshroom
0xc2a1b38019105e784173a3b6b384a11e4eed8da1
- Realised P&L
- $26.00
- Volume
- $507.88
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $137.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.13at 0.388Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17?
- +$8.11at 0.388Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?
- +$7.20at 0.410Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?
- +$6.49at 0.442Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
- +$5.97at 0.462Peterborough United FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4343448269 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.27 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3061788796 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5544334439 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |