0xc2a0547c20e75f8b2b84bdbe3443a3836534a786
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $373.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.775 | 0.905 | $162.02 | +$23.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1? · No | 0.950 | 0.990 | $114.20 | +$4.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.907 | 0.988 | $60.28 | +$4.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? · No | 0.803 | 0.905 | $37.07 | +$4.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.80at 0.032Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?
- +$7.08at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?
- +$-40.41at 0.967Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $19.41 |
| 10-01 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.91 | $19.84 |
| 10-01 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.91 | $11.83 |
| 10-01 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.8035909174 | $43.88 |
| 10-01 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7881129139 | $202.55 |
| 10-01 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $109.58 |
| 10-01 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $12.64 |
| 10-01 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.69 |