PolyBot

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Traders

Adalsteinn

0xc296a42d1d8febef0cbbfd1e25e7b724c2e43b49

Realised P&L
$-38.25
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$13.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Lions (-6.5) · Jets0.4900.495$5.05+$0.05
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0430.021$4.77$5.23
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0340.024$3.46$1.54
Spread: Vikings (-2.5) · Packers0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$4.00
Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Panthers0.6600.000$0.00$5.00
Starmer out before July? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.00
Macron cocaine use confirmed? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "DOGE" 5+ times during the press conference? · No0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the press conference? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$2.00
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$4.00
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$4.00
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 08:09Spread: Lions (-6.5)BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-13 17:10Spread: Vikings (-2.5)BUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-13 17:09Spread: Bears (-3.5)BUY0.659999963$5.00
09-09 04:41Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0429999999$5.00
09-09 04:41Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0429999999$5.00
09-08 22:09Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0339999999$5.00
04-12 12:12Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.06003847$4.00
04-12 12:12Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0636625883$2.00
06-16 11:45Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0258065094$4.00
06-08 21:11Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?BUY0.008$1.00
06-08 12:13Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?BUY0.02$3.00
06-08 12:11Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?BUY0.08$4.00
05-30 18:07Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the press conference?BUY0.01$1.00
05-30 18:07Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "DOGE" 5+ times during the press conference?BUY0.01$1.00
05-30 18:07Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "DOGE" 5+ times during the press conference?BUY0.01$1.00