Adalsteinn
0xc296a42d1d8febef0cbbfd1e25e7b724c2e43b49
- Realised P&L
- $-38.25
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $13.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.927Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:09 | Spread: Lions (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 17:10 | Spread: Vikings (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 17:09 | Spread: Bears (-3.5) | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 04:41 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 04:41 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 22:09 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $5.00 |
| 04-12 12:12 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.06003847 | $4.00 |
| 04-12 12:12 | Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0636625883 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 11:45 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0258065094 | $4.00 |
| 06-08 21:11 | Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 12:13 | Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 06-08 12:11 | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 05-30 18:07 | Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the press conference? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 18:07 | Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "DOGE" 5+ times during the press conference? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 18:07 | Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "DOGE" 5+ times during the press conference? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |