PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cr3amyBob

0xc294380785842b2cd6e8fcc55a09c64bf42850a8

Realised P&L
$-6.15
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$14.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.3301.000$6.06+$4.06
Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026? · Yes0.0020.007$4.15+$3.15
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00−$1.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5790.576$0.99−$0.01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.74−$1.26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0020.001$0.64−$1.36
Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.0300.001$0.02−$0.98
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1100.001$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.1400.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.4450.001$0.00−$2.00
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00−$2.55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 20:21Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-25 20:20Will France win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.82$1.12
09-25 18:17Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-25 18:17Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-25 15:35Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-25 15:34Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-25 15:30Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-25 15:04Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.51$1.02
09-25 15:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 25?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-24 20:49Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.578999905$1.00
09-24 20:44Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.999$1.72
09-24 18:14Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.2999999806$1.55
09-24 16:01Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
09-24 16:00Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026?BUY0.0016851265$1.00
09-24 15:53Will MrBeast's next video get at least 65 million views on day 5?BUY0.0024561576$1.00