dsdfsfds
0xc28f8fc265651d74fd4c5180f91a54d19865ffed
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $349.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.051 | $8.1k | +$0.15 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.590 | 0.075 | $449.24 | −$3.1k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.240 | 0.013 | $87.14 | −$1.5k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.310 | 0.024 | $81.42 | −$970.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.856Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- +$537.43at 0.366Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$-529.06at 0.537Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 16:14 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3607537928 | $2.1k |
| 09-06 16:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.8k |
| 09-06 16:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.6k |
| 09-06 16:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.3k |
| 09-06 16:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.51 | $6.0k |
| 06-20 09:20 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.5k |
| 06-07 01:08 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.051 | $8.1k |
| 06-07 01:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.8k |
| 06-07 01:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $6.1k |
| 06-07 01:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.8k |
| 06-07 01:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.8k |
| 06-07 01:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.1k |
| 06-07 01:03 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.85 | $43.6k |