PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc28ed457ffccbc24114afb5451388ecfb3feee20

Realised P&L
$-4.61
Volume
$669.00
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$70.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.5000.945$18.90+$8.90
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9400.966$10.63+$0.29
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.5000.885$10.62+$4.62
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8400.935$10.29+$1.04
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.6900.835$10.02+$1.74
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9740.971$4.86$0.01
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$2.40$0.92
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1430.128$0.90$0.10
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1100.034$0.88$1.98
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.105$0.73$0.38
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4790.087$0.61$2.74
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No0.2400.000$0.00$3.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 02:28Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.299$2.39
07-01 15:21Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.81$5.67
06-30 21:34Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.933$4.67
06-23 02:17Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.066$1.06
06-23 01:12Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.14
06-22 22:02Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.16$2.08
06-22 17:28Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.143$1.00
06-22 17:18Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.98
06-22 16:43Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.35
06-22 16:41Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$4.30
06-22 16:38Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.12
06-22 16:07Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.94$10.34
06-22 16:02Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$8.19
06-22 16:01Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.964$6.75
06-22 15:58Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.974$4.87