0xc28ed457ffccbc24114afb5451388ecfb3feee20
- Realised P&L
- $-4.61
- Volume
- $669.00
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $70.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.945 | $18.90 | +$8.90 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.966 | $10.63 | +$0.29 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.885 | $10.62 | +$4.62 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.935 | $10.29 | +$1.04 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $10.02 | +$1.74 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.971 | $4.86 | −$0.01 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $2.40 | −$0.92 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.143 | 0.128 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.034 | $0.88 | −$1.98 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.105 | $0.73 | −$0.38 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.087 | $0.61 | −$2.74 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.800Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.44at 0.620OpenAI IPO before 2027?
- +$0.10at 0.260Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
- +$0.05at 0.299Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.933Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 02:28 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.299 | $2.39 |
| 07-01 15:21 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.67 |
| 06-30 21:34 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.933 | $4.67 |
| 06-23 02:17 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.066 | $1.06 |
| 06-23 01:12 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 06-22 22:02 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.08 |
| 06-22 17:28 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.143 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 17:18 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.98 |
| 06-22 16:43 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 06-22 16:41 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-22 16:38 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 06-22 16:07 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $10.34 |
| 06-22 16:02 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.19 |
| 06-22 16:01 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $6.75 |
| 06-22 15:58 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |