0xC28B5caf71C13E6AfF635Fc83b8b45e451Ab06ee-1778356306769
0xc28b5caf71c13e6aff635fc83b8b45e451ab06ee
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $74.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.028 | 0.018 | $41.18 | −$20.90 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.075 | 0.015 | $12.67 | −$52.75 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.051 | $7.60 | −$2.40 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.005 | $4.48 | −$15.52 |
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · No | 0.060 | 0.044 | $3.67 | −$1.33 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $2.38 | −$2.62 |
| Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.007 | $1.81 | −$3.19 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.004 | $0.55 | −$19.45 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:59 | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1049115527 | $15.42 |
| 09-21 14:59 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.0279980794 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 14:57 | Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1280271016 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 14:56 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.0282112076 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 14:55 | Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0105118926 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:54 | Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0192923936 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:50 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0664510264 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 14:48 | Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0223219545 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 14:45 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:42 | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0688182667 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 14:35 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.026 | $7.08 |