ugtyu1
0xc284b5be62edcc70e5a8a5f2407184d93c5688e8
- Realised P&L
- $-26.72
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Hawks vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Wizards · Trail Blazers | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$3.39at 0.747Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 27-August 2?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969998281 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 08:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.997999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 05:42 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 06-13 05:24 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $6.99 |
| 05-28 07:50 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9929999993 | $7.00 |
| 04-22 03:13 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999994 | $6.67 |
| 04-16 02:28 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.69 |
| 03-17 07:48 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.89 |
| 03-11 07:58 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.44 |
| 03-07 08:12 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.45 |
| 03-04 05:13 | Hawks vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.5299999251 | $2.90 |
| 02-12 09:03 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $378.27 |
| 02-12 05:14 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $378.66 |
| 02-12 05:11 | Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.998 | $361.96 |
| 02-12 01:20 | Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.999 | $362.33 |