ethhte
0xc278143b0a9a06d236936bc742e516de13472d19
- Realised P&L
- $23.7k
- Volume
- $96.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $17.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.885 | $3.8k | +$542.77 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No | 0.595 | 0.880 | $3.7k | +$1.2k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.910 | $3.1k | +$574.33 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.972 | $2.9k | +$426.21 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.925 | 0.980 | $2.6k | +$147.30 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.860 | 0.955 | $882.95 | +$87.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.7kat 0.042MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.420Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$636.05at 0.438MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$282.05at 0.780Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
- +$52.89at 0.950Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.3k |
| 09-22 18:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $2.5k |
| 05-18 09:32 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $795.12 |
| 05-18 08:15 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SELL | 0.2731624793 | $818.80 |
| 05-14 17:03 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3645454477 | $1.1k |
| 05-14 17:03 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SELL | 0.405518483 | $1.2k |
| 05-13 13:15 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999999 | $955.37 |
| 05-13 13:13 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SELL | 0.5365133107 | $995.78 |
| 05-05 14:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3712922365 | $776.78 |
| 05-05 14:10 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.646540586 | $5.0k |
| 05-05 14:07 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.5947335157 | $2.5k |
| 05-05 14:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9249999998 | $2.5k |
| 05-05 13:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May? | BUY | 0.06474857 | $1000.00 |
| 05-05 13:54 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0403866143 | $1000.00 |
| 05-05 13:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $2.5k |