vvkk4
0xc275dfc4f3254f5b8b6f9704ca237e400295ef8a
- Realised P&L
- $-230.76
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $38.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.958 | $30.64 | +$1.20 |
| QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.670 | 0.905 | $7.78 | +$2.02 |
| Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech · Liberty | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$237.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.12at 0.979Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$1.05at 0.972Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.85at 0.541Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.29at 0.940Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:27 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $6.88 |
| 10-03 02:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $52.13 |
| 04-25 02:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | BUY | 0.9969999809 | $46.76 |
| 02-15 03:13 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary? | BUY | 0.9919999217 | $4.66 |
| 02-15 03:12 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9719999996 | $36.37 |
| 02-15 03:12 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 03:03 | Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.997 | $46.02 |
| 01-21 03:36 | Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.998 | $46.07 |
| 01-21 03:36 | Will Jayson Tatum win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.9889999978 | $4.60 |
| 12-27 15:37 | Aleo airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9979999981 | $48.63 |
| 12-27 15:37 | Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.994 | $48.63 |
| 12-02 03:08 | Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $48.68 |
| 12-02 03:07 | Will Girona FC win La Liga? | SELL | 0.997 | $47.95 |
| 11-15 03:07 | Will Girona FC win La Liga? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.00 |
| 11-04 11:42 | Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.00 |