PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dreadnothingatall

0xc27023c8d4b2bb37275606095039feeecc6f3503

Realised P&L
$-231.65
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$596.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.3600.470$596.57+$139.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by March 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$14.40
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00−$30.80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$5.00
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 14:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$76.19
10-22 23:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999998$30.00
10-22 17:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.12$30.53
10-21 21:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.2436885865$62.00
10-21 21:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.8313955074$62.18
10-21 21:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.8309999999$58.00
10-21 21:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.814$4.07
10-21 20:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999992$50.00
10-05 13:23Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.3299999996$59.00
10-05 10:20Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1197913213$28.19
10-03 09:01Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.3399999995$40.00
10-03 09:01Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1402771396$74.25
10-03 00:05Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1446225454$76.55
10-02 23:50Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.4$100.00
10-01 17:53Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.3499999988$45.00