grgreger
0xc260cd3f058efc1db47c8cd07b8f2533dcebae28
- Realised P&L
- $-37.84
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 991
- Open portfolio
- $9.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded991
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.18at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 24?
- +$1.18at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 25?
- +$1.12at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 27?
- +$1.10at 0.901Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 14?
- +$1.06at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9859999882 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $1.00 |