PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Xk7bLp3TzM

0xc260b6e3ad0c81e0da3ac637874fb4fcbff5d7cc

Realised P&L
$-387.46
Volume
$143.0k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$876.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9790.980$326.60+$0.17
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9750.977$283.86+$0.31
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9650.967$221.77+$0.46
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0700.075$23.52+$1.57
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0570.056$10.67−$0.31
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0340.033$7.28−$0.22
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes0.0280.029$2.23+$0.04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1000.122$0.17+$0.03
Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors0.7500.000$0.00−$40.00
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers · Celtics0.6900.000$0.00−$160.00
Bulls vs. Hornets · Bulls0.5800.000$0.00−$80.00
Clippers vs. Hawks · Hawks0.6100.000$0.00−$60.00
Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers0.6600.000$0.00−$40.00
Nuggets vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7700.000$0.00−$80.00
Nuggets vs. Clippers · Clippers0.4200.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:55Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.022$1.42
10-31 02:01US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.92$219.38
09-21 01:46Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.968$14.97
09-18 10:51Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.033$6.08
09-11 13:54Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.133$34.24
09-11 10:59Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.036$6.84
09-04 12:30Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.975$148.84
08-29 09:09Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.89$278.85
08-29 06:33Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$21.47
01-10 12:55Heat vs. PacersBUY0.73$100.00
01-07 12:34Rockets vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.6999999991$80.00
01-07 12:33Suns vs. GrizzliesBUY0.64$80.00
01-07 12:32Pelicans vs. HawksBUY0.8$60.00
01-07 12:31Magic vs. NetsBUY0.5499999963$60.00
01-07 12:30Clippers vs. KnicksBUY0.6599999991$60.00