PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Arnayt

0xc2518655a9bf5054262e322e92d416bdeb05a5d3

Realised P&L
$17.89
Volume
$28.0k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · No0.7120.735$557.29+$17.29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8860.953$392.65+$27.65
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.7260.440$199.94−$130.06
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.5030.810$169.14+$64.14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.535$134.59−$26.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No0.6100.585$83.43−$3.57
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-10-18? · No0.6290.620$52.26−$0.74
Spread: Wolfsberger AC (-1.5) · WSG Tirol0.8390.815$48.56−$1.44
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 · Over0.5500.555$30.27+$0.27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.948$26.20+$3.80
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under0.6960.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$40.00
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27? · No0.7060.000$0.00−$8.00
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5) · Beşiktaş JK0.7180.000$0.00−$88.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:50Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5BUY0.5499999954$30.00
10-14 17:32Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.75$24.87
10-14 09:26Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?BUY0.6613266648$93.00
10-14 08:53Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.709999997$40.00
10-13 23:04Spread: Wolfsberger AC (-1.5)BUY0.8391608385$50.00
10-13 15:52Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?BUY0.7288075766$30.56
10-13 09:16Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.628813557$53.00
10-12 16:10Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.75$53.00
10-12 09:33Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.75$105.00
10-11 17:35Spread: NK Slaven Belupo (-3.5)BUY0.8739999995$90.00
10-11 17:31Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)BUY0.9$25.00
10-11 16:49Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-3.5)BUY0.8499999974$33.00
10-11 16:47Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-3.5)SELL0.17$51.00
10-11 16:33Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-3.5)BUY0.25$75.00
10-11 16:30Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)BUY0.8160112324$35.00